Ash Crypto’s Thesis Shows Gold Peak May Fuel BTC Super Run

Gold broke above $4,000 per ounce this week for the first time in history, extending a driven by central-bank purchases, ETF inflows, and a weaker dollar, according to Reuters.

Analysts have linked the metal’s surge to multiple U.S. rate cuts that can happen over the course of 2025 and a flight to safety from political and economic strains in Japan, France, and Washington.

And now, market watcher Ash Crypto wrote on X that gold’s market value “has expanded by about $4.77 trillion in 45 days, almost twice Bitcoin’s capitalization.” That figure has not been independently verified by major commodity sources such as the World Gold Council, but it illustrates how traders perceive the scale of the current liquidity wave.

According to data released following the September Federal Reserve meeting, officials acknowledged growing risks to the labor market and discussed multiple rate cuts this year.

Futures markets price a 94% chance of a 25-basis-point cut in October and a 79% probability of another in December. These expectations have kept liquidity flowing into hard assets like gold and Bitcoin.

The recent announcement of a ceasefire deal under President Donald Trump’s temporarily eased tensions, leading some traders to take profits after gold hit a new all-time high of $4,059.05.

Ash Crypto believes that once gold’s rally peaks, liquidity will rotate into Bitcoin, which he calls the next phase of the same macro trade.

“Once gold tops out, we will see liquidity flow into Bitcoin,”

Bitcoin currently $122,000, just below its all-time high of $126,000 reached earlier this week.

As per CryptoQuant, total open interest on Binance recently 7.9% from a record $15.07 billion, indicating some profit-taking and reduced leverage after Bitcoin’s latest rally.

CryptoQuant data also that the Dollar Index (DXY) has traded below its yearly average for 220 consecutive days, during which Bitcoin has climbed from $86,000 to over $125,000.

The decline in dollar confidence, combined with structural inflation and fiscal imbalances in major economies, continues to push investors toward alternative stores of value.