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A growing consensus among crypto analysts suggests that a major “altcoin season” could be on the horizon for 2025. This outlook is based on a combination of historical chart patterns, specific technical triggers, and a market structure that appears to be mirroring previous explosive cycles.
Prominent analyst Ash Crypto has fueled the discussion by sharing a chart that highlights a repeating market pattern. According to his analysis, powerful altcoin rallies have historically been preceded by a significant drop in altcoin market dominance, followed by a sharp and sustained recovery.
Ash Crypto’s analysis suggests that the current market structure is eerily similar to past cycles where altcoin season kicked off after an extended consolidation. His chart indicates that 2025 could mirror these past explosive cycles, where altcoins outperformed Bitcoin by significant margins.
Another analyst Sercan YILDIZ that Ethereum’s strength against Bitcoin has historically been the ignition point for major altcoin rallies. Since August 2022, the ETH/BTC pair has been in a prolonged downtrend, weakening Ethereum’s dominance and keeping the broader altcoin market in check.
YILDIZ emphasized that the key trigger for altseason will be the breakout of the descending trendline on the ETH/BTC chart. “When Ethereum rises against Bitcoin, that’s when the real altcoin movement begins,” he said.
YILDIZ believes that following this breakout, a four-month mega bull rally could deliver life-changing gains, estimating potential 50x to 100x returns across the altcoin landscape.
While many traders prematurely declared the bull run over, YILDIZ asserts that the data contradicts this sentiment. “The altcoin bull run hasn’t started yet,” he reiterated.
The Total 2 chart adds further insight, revealing that the market is currently hovering near the $1.12 trillion mark–displaying significant historical support near the $1 trillion level, where the market has previously found buyers.
The MACD on the daily time frame is showing bearish momentum, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line. However, this structure is not uncommon in pre-altseason phases where the market typically experiences a final shakeout before a reversal.
Further, the ATR (Average True Range) also suggests decreasing volatility, which often precedes explosive moves.
If the market can hold above $1 trillion, a recovery toward the $1.3 trillion resistance zone is likely. Also, a decisive break above this level would likely confirm the start of altseason, aligning with both Ash Crypto and Sercan YILDIZ’s forecasts.
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