Bitcoin Dominance Drops Below 60% as Altseason Speculation Intensifies

Bitcoin’s dominance over the crypto market has taken a sharp turn, slipping to 59.2% and breaking below several key technical levels. This decline could be a major turning point, signaling that the long-awaited altcoin rally is about to begin.

Over the past month alone, Bitcoin’s share of the market has fallen from 63.9% as both Ethereum and other altcoins have gained significant ground.

How we got here.

According to Dan Gambardello, Bitcoin dominance recently fell under the 60% psychological barrier and dipped below the green moving average support. It now tests the blue moving average near 59%.

The last time this happened was in November 2024, which led to a brief altcoin surge before Bitcoin regained control. This time, the drop comes after months of consolidation between 59% and 66%. A sustained break lower could encourage significant capital rotation into altcoins.

Adding to the bearish case for dominance, analyst AltcoinGordon points out that Bitcoin has lost a three-year uptrend line near 62%, a key structural shift. He argues that this level has kept altcoins suppressed since 2022, and losing it could unleash broader participation across the market.

Caution is still warranted. Analyst ZYN notes that while history shows fakeouts are possible, current conditions suggest Bitcoin may have already peaked in dominance.

In Q4 2024, Bitcoin dominance briefly its EMA-50 level, only to rebound quickly. ZYN notes that while history shows fakeouts are possible, current conditions suggest Bitcoin may have already peaked in dominance.

He believes a weekly close under the key EMA-50 moving average could confirm a more decisive move and set the stage for a “mega Altseason.” Traders will be watching that weekly close to distinguish between a genuine breakdown and another false start.

The impact is already visible in the numbers. Ethereum’s market share has risen from 9.7% last month to 12.9% today, gaining over three percentage points. Other cryptocurrencies have also increased their collective share to 27.9%, signaling a broad-based altcoin bid. The shift is not only technical but also psychological, as investor appetite appears to be moving beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum.