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Bitcoin has moved into the green today, climbing above the $114,000 level after a recent period of price uncertainty, but a new analysis suggests this could be just the beginning of a much larger move. Based on the Trump administration’s , an analysis has been put forward that projects a long-term price target of $1.4 million for Bitcoin.
The analysis, detailed by Chief Bitcoin Strategist Mark Moss, connects the future growth of the stablecoin market directly to Bitcoin’s price.
The core idea is that the administration’s plan to grow stablecoin assets under management (AUM) from $250 billion today to $3.7 trillion would unleash a nearly 15x increase in capital flowing through the crypto ecosystem.
Chief Bitcoin Strategist at Satsuma, Bitcoin has historically responded strongly to growth in stablecoin markets, particularly during periods of increased regulatory clarity. By applying past correlation patterns and price models, Moss sees this development as a catalyst for Bitcoin’s future.
The model presents several scenarios based on how this massive stablecoin growth unfolds. The most conservative estimates see Bitcoin reaching around $600,000 by 2030.
More neutral predictions place Bitcoin closer to the $1.3 – $1.4 million range. If the bullish scenario plays out, backed by stronger-than-expected liquidity and adoption, Bitcoin could reach even higher levels.
Earlier, Moss said the Pi Cycle Top Indicator has been very accurate in the past, predicting Bitcoin’s major peaks in 2013, 2017, and 2021. But now, it’s giving a surprising signal. While many think Bitcoin will peak in late 2025, the indicator points to early 2027, with a price of around $395,000.
One of the arguments from analysts is that regulation is now clearer than ever. With bills like the Genius Act passed under the Trump administration, the market is being structured to support growth in stablecoins and digital assets.
In just the last seven months, stablecoin assets have already increased by 32%. If that growth continues, the $3.7 trillion target could be reached as early as 2027—three years ahead of initial projections.
Experts say that during these periods of policy clarity, Bitcoin shows higher price correlations to stablecoin inflows and broader liquidity.
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