Bitcoin Hits $115K as Crypto Rebounds, Dan Gambardello Warns of a $110,000 CME Gap Risk Ahead of Policy Decisions

Bitcoin (BTC) spearheaded a broad crypto market rebound, climbing decisively above $115,000 as optimism surrounding a potential US-China trade deal eased recent market fears.

BTC registered five consecutive daily gains to trade near $115,679 during the early London session Monday, pulling the total crypto market cap up 3.7% toward $3.9 trillion. This recovery significantly dialed back fears of further correction, reflected in a rising CoinMarketCap Fear & Greed Index.

The crypto market gained today largely due to the U.S.-China trade deal. More than $469 million was rekt from leveraged crypto traders today, with the majority involving short traders.

The recent macro fear caused an escalation U.S.-China trade war has significantly declined. The wider crypto market followed the NASDAQ 100 futures and the S&P 500 in mild gains as investors turned bullish.

During the next seven days, the crypto market will certainly experience higher volatility; thus, leveraged traders are cautioned to stay vigilant. Although the U.S. economic data may be impacted by the ongoing government shutdown, here are several high-impact macroeconomic news will impact the crypto industry this week:

Despite the positive price action and potentially bullish macro backdrop, analyst Dan Gambardello offered a note of midterm caution centered on the Bitcoin CME futures chart.

He pointed out a significant unfilled CME gap exists with a lower bound near $110,000. CME gaps represent price differences between the closing price on Friday and the opening price on Sunday/Monday on the CME Bitcoin futures market. Historically, these gaps often tend to get “filled,” meaning the price revisits that level.

Gambardello suggested this $110k gap could act as a magnet, potentially pulling the price back down or capping the current rally in the near term before a more sustained move higher. While not guaranteed, it represents a technical risk factor that could delay a potential “Uptober” surge, even if the monthly close remains bullish.

Looking beyond the immediate week, Gambardello, who believes the market is still in the early stages of a euphoric bull phase, shared insights on identifying the eventual cycle peak. He stressed two key macro indicators: